Warriors vs Cowboys preview from expert analyst Steve Green, including predicted score and recommended bet
Members received a recommended bet for the Warriors vs Cowboys earlier this week. The Warriors handed me my biggest loss of the season so far and last week the Cowboys let me down, so pulling the trigger on a big bet here might seem crazy brave – but I think we’re onto a good one.
Firstly, I assumed Taumalolo will play and today confirmation has come through that is the case. He ‘only’ had bone bruising and was still able to run in Round 3, so it didn’t seem like a serious injury at all. And with the Cowboys dropping a few games already and only a 20 round season, they were never going to just rest the $10 million man.
I think there have been some promising signs for the Cowboys and although I hate to say it, as he used to be one of my favourite players, it was past time Coach Green dropped Granville entirely. Robson has looked much sharper at 9 and Rheuben Cotter on the bench will compliment his game well. Cotter has had a wretched injury run, but was one of the best for the Cutters in the Queensland Cup and has looked good in his limited time.
However, it’s the combination of Clifford, Drinkwater and Holmes that I think the market is underrating. There is a lot of speed in that trio and when you throw in Marsters, O’Neil, Feldt and the electric Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow debuting on the wing, this Cowboys back line could really put some points on the board against a Warriors back line still missing Fusitua and Maumalolo.
Up front the inclusion of Taumalolo is big, but they also welcome back big Coen Hess… who looks like he’s back to the early season form that saw him make the Queensland squad. Throw in McLean, McGuire and Molo (as well as Cooper on the bench!) and this Cowboys pack is shaping up really well.
As for the Warriors, the first basic stat that should jump out to punters is the points scored. Rugby League is a simple game. If you don’t score points, you’re not going to win – or cover a line. So far this season the Warriors have managed to score 24 points in four games. 18 of those 24 points came against the woeful Dragons… so the Warriors have scored six points in their other three games.
That’s six points over 240 minutes – one point for every half of footy!
Although they welcome back Burr, Paasi and Hiku, this is still a weak-looking Warriors team. Nikorima is far too hot and cold, Green is past his best and Egan was let go by the Panthers because he just didn’t get the job done. Besides RTS, they don’t have many reliable attacking players to draw on.
While the travel from Townsville to Gosford is a factor, and the Warriors are a team that never gives up… I think the Cowboys will outclass them across the board and rack up a big win.
Warriors vs Cowboys: predicted score
Warriors vs Cowboys: recommended bet
Bet 2 Units on Cowboys -6.5 at $1.90
Don’t forget, TopSport have $2 lines on NRL once final teams are confirmed. You won’t get a better price on lines anywhere.