As well as providing his best value bets every week, our NRL guru Steve Green also previews every NRL game for members. Each week on the blog we’ll feature three of his match previews from the eight games. Check out his NRL Round 5 Triple Preview…
For the rest of Steve’s NRL Round 5 previews plus all of his best bets, join NRL Tips now!
NRL Round 5: Warriors vs Manly (Friday)
I am not betting on Manly being great here… but I am betting on the Warriors mounting injury toll getting the best of them.
They are now missing their two strike centres, three props (including one that is among the best in the world) and their half back.
While their replacements are all solid enough, the Roosters showed that the Warriors are vulnerable to some quality ball movement.
For Manly, while the critics are suggesting Coach Hassler is too stubborn to change, the fact that Suli and Boyle have been forced out by injury is a positive, as their replacements (Harper and Sipley) are better choices.
I also think Saab will get replaced on the wing, with young Christian Tuipulotu having surely done enough to show he deserves a chance over the struggling Saab.
Manly have a three day advantage over the Warriors in their turnaround from their Round 4 match, and the Warriors are the weakest team Manly have played to date. Manly’s previous opponents have been Souths, Roosters, Dragons and Panthers – all currently in the top 6 on the ladder.
A lot of reasons for Manly fans to be hopeful here and with the $3.10 still available on the head to head, it is too good for me to pass up.
Predicted score Warriors 22 – Manly 23
NRL Round 3: Titans vs Knights (Saturday)
The Titans blew their chances against the Raiders and then suffered some tough injuries. Fogarty was injured early, which explains why he was not at his best. Although the margin blew out at the end, I thought the Titans showed a lot of grit and determination.
Fifita, Big Tino and Fotuaika are relentless with their hard running, and Brimson and Corey Thompson are always asking questions.
With Kelly back out wide, the Titans have another strike weapon to turn to.
As for the Knights, while they still have a pretty strong line up despite their injury woes, I think Green and Ponga will be underdone due to their lack of match fitness.
By moving Watson to 6, the Knights lose some of their spark off the bench. I also think the Knights forward pack will be sore and sorry after their bruising encounter on Sunday against the Dragons.
The Knights bench and outside backs are too weak at the moment and I think the Titans will run away with this one in the second half.
Predicted score Titans 26 – Knights 12
NRL Round 3: Eels vs Wests (Sunday)
Two in-form teams clash here in what should be a great game. The Dragons welcome back Jack Bird and that has strengthened their line up, but I am conscious of the fact that they’ve had a very soft draw to date.
The Dragons have not played a team in the top 7 so far in 2021, so taking on the unbeaten Eels is by far their toughest ask… and they’re still without their best player in Ben Hunt.
The Eels have also had a pretty cruisy draw to date, but they have beaten the Storm and the Sharks at home, so their form line is much stronger in my opinion. And while the Dragons deserved the win against the Knights, they did so off the back of a horror injury toll from the Knights.
At Bankwest I think the Eels can run away with this, as they are in ruthless form at the moment.
Predicted score Eels 26 – Dragons 12
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