We’re three weeks into the resumption of golf on the PGA Tour with wins so far for three well-known names – Daniel Berger, Webb Simpson & Dustin Johnson. This week the player quality does start to visibly thin a little, as a result of a few of the top players resting up after consecutive weeks of tournament action. But there’s still a very competitive feel to the Rocket Mortgage Classic.
Rocket Mortgage Classic: The Tournament
For such a well-recognised city, it seems strange to learn that this is the first PGA Tour event held in Detroit. Maybe it’s a sign of the general profile of golfers in the US, and the Motor City’s blue-collar roots!
Initially brought in to replace the Quicken Loans National, it does freshen up the schedule and it’ll be interesting to see how the tournament develops over the coming years. Given its usual spot in the middle of the “Major Season” you’d expect the field to be nothing special. But given this year’s extreme circumstances, we’ve got a good line-up in Michigan.
Rocket Mortgage Classic: The Course
Located on the northern side of the city, the Detroit Golf Club dates back to 1899 when it was founded by William Ferrand. This week’s track, the North course, is a 7,340-yard course that plays as a par-72. It was designed by famous course architect, Donald Ross and was opened in 1916. The course recently underwent an upgrade to get ready for tournament play, and bears the hallmarks of a Ross design with tree-lined fairways putting a premium on accuracy over power.
263: Nate Lashley (2019)
63: Nate Lashley (2019), JT Poston (2019)
Rocket Mortgage Classic: Past Winners
2019: Nate Lashley
Rocket Mortgage Classic: The Field
A standard PGA Tour line-up in Michigan this week with 150+ players on show. Bryson DeChambeau is the $6.50 outright favourite with TopSport.
Rocket Mortgage Classic: The Weather
There’s going to be some heat on the course this week as temperatures peak near the 100-degree (F) mark on Friday. All four days will be hot, with just a minimal chance of rain. Importantly, wind speeds will be less than 10mph throughout, so good scoring conditions for the players.
Outright Value Bets from The Golf Insider
Jason Day – currently $46 with TopSport
Day made his first cut since lockdown last week. He only finished 46th there are plenty of positives to take from it. Day looks fit and healthy and will be playing his fourth event in a row this week, which will be the first time he’s done this in forever. A fit Jason Day is a dangerous Jason Day, and he has a great record at courses that correlate to Detroit – he ranks 2]second in Draft Kings points gained in this exact category. This is by no means a rock-solid indicator, but it’s certainly a big positive this week. Day shot four rounds under-par last week. He just needs to get his iron play up to scratch in order to seriously compete this week.
This week’s field is relatively weak compared to the three previous events. There’s no Thomas, McIlroy, Johnson, Koepka, Schauffele, Rahm and Rose to name a few. Day is a class above the majority of his fellow competitors this week. He looks a really interesting bet at the price.
Tyler Duncan – currently $101 with TopSport
Since the return of the tour after lockdown, Duncan has made three out of three cuts and has looked very solid. His tee-to-green numbers have got progressively better each week, and last week he ranked fifth in this category. And a stone-cold putter cost him three strokes against the field. He hasn’t shot over par since the re-start with level par being his worst score in the last three events. Duncan won the RSM Classic back in November. So he hasn’t the pressure of trying to win his first PGA Tour title. Crucially, he’ll be able to handle himself if he gets into a winning position this week. At triple-figures Duncan looks a decent each-way play this week.
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