- Full preview of the Turkish Open with The Golf Insider
- Four value picks, ranging from $34 to $151 in the market
We’re all set for the week’s main golfing event, which is the Turkish Airlines Open
This tournament forms part of the Rolex Series on the European Tour, and benefits from a bigger prize fund – and so a higher quality field.
Here’s a full preview of the action in Turkey…
Turkish Open: The Tournament
A relative newcomer on the schedule, this event has only been played since 2013. In this respect the tournament is yet to create much of an identity, but its timing near the end of the Rolex Series / Race To Dubai (which culminates in the Tour Championship and another mega-payday for the players) means that it regularly attracts a host of big names among its select 78 player field. This year is no exception with a number of Ryder Cup players and a smattering of Major winners in the line-up.
Turkish Open: The Course
A change this year, and a return to the Montgomery Maxx Royal at Antayla – last used for this event in 2015. It plays as a par 72, but it’s short at just 7,135 yards. The course also features five par 3s and five par 5s which should make for good scoring. This is a tree-lined, parkland course with reasonably generous fairways. Some water comes into play, but generally speaking the course will be set-up to assist, rather than punish, the players.
264: Thorbjorn Olesen (2016)
62: Thorbjorn Olesen (2016)
Turkish Open: Past Winners
2018: Justin Rose
2017: Justin Rose
2016: Thorbjorn Olesen
2015: Victor Dubuisson
2014: Brooks Koepka
Turkish Open: The Field
A select field of just 78 players this week in Turkey. Justin Rose is the outright favourite at $9 with BetEasy.
Turkish Open: The Weather
Looks good all week with temperatures in the high 20s, little cloud and no rain forecast all four days. Wind speeds are minimal (under 15kph max) so there will be no excuse this week for the players not to score well.
Turkish Open: Value Bets
Alex Noren: $34 with BetEasy.
Despite not landing a telling blow last week in Bermuda, Noren’s effort was still very solid. Another Top 20 for a player who is clearly much better than his winless 2019 suggests. The roll of honour at these Rolex Series events suggests that quality tends to rise to the top, and as a great ball-striker I would expect Noren to enjoy this week’s test, despite not having a great amount of course form. There are players shorter than him in the betting who I don’t feel deserve to be there (and are certainly less prolific than the Swede) and,Noren deserves another shot after an encouraging run-out in Bermuda last week.
Victor Perez: $41 with BetEasy.
Perez continues to impress on the European Tour and last week in China he finished fourth on debut, which was mighty impressive. His tee-to-green game is superb – last week he ranked fifth in this category and he’ll need to be sharp again from tee-to-green if he’s to thrive at the Montgomerie Maxx Royal course. He won the Alfred Dunhill links just four starts ago, so he knows what it takes to win when in the mix. The switch this year back to the Montgomerie Maxx course will help the debutants, as it levels the playing field somewhat. Perez is a class act who has a huge future in world golf and this week’s assignment looks perfect for the big hitting tee-to-green machine.
— Justin ROSE (@JustinRose99) 4 November 2018
Ryan Fox: $81 with BetEasy.
Fox has started to find form again after a poor 2019 campaign. He broke his run of missed cuts with a 16th place finish at the Open Championship and that seemed to start a mini revival. He’s made his last four cuts in a row, which includes back-to-back 18th place finishes at the Italian Open and the French Open – two venues which require great ball-striking. Last time out in Portugal he finished 31st, but ranked as the 17th best player from tee-to-green, so his game is definitely trending in the right direction. Fox is a quality player and with his power can destroy the par 5s. I think he’s worth an interest this week at a big price in a reduced field.
Jorge Campillo: $151 with BetEasy.
Campillo is arguably my bet of the week. The talented Spaniard has endured a terrible end to the season by his standards, but last week in China there were signs of life. Campillo finished 34th, but ranked 11th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green which is hugely encouraging. Last season Campillo was one of the most consistent golfers on tour and racked up an amazing six Top 5s. He then carried that form over to the early part of this year and had another five Top 3 finishes which included his maiden tour win in Morocco. This man was someone regularly going off 25/1 in full field strong events, and now he’s 150/1 despite showing plenty of game last week against the world’s best. It’s still asking a lot of him to win this week, but the signs are there and the price is huge considering how good he is. Any slight improvement on the greens from last week and we could be looking at landing a monster touch.
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