In last week’s newsletter we gave you 4 winners and a 2nd from 5 bets.
One of those winners was So Willie each-way at up to $34 which was a fantastic result and a great tip from Nathan Snow.
So that’s a hard act to try and follow this week, but we’ll give it our best shot:
So Willie highlighted a HUGE Saturday for members of the very simple, yet very successful Snowy’s Bets service who backed 4 winners from 7 betting races:
Ravi at $5
So Willie at $20w and $5.50 place
Foreign Prince at $12
Members made $1800 on the day at a whopping 200% Profit on Turnover.
Now anyone can have a great day, but 16% PoT since inception proves Snowy’s edge on the market.
Get on board here for winners at Randwick and Newcastle (Beaumont) tomorrow.
Here’s one horse we’ll be backing:
Randwick r8 n4 Danish Twist
Consistent horse who always sprints home well. 28 days between runs the slight concern but looks to get a great run on the pace here.
Flemington r4 n7 Holy Cow
Produced peak rating two runs ago at Sandown over 1600m, then got too far back at MORP before flashing home over 2015m running best splits of race. Can settle closer from better draw here. Back 200m here to 1800m shouldn’t pose any problems. With App claim gets in under the mininum.
Morphettville Parks tip
Morphettville Parks r6 n4 Chamois Road
Had blinkers on last start at Mildura and won very easily. Should go forward and be in the first few. Has M Neilson on tomorrow in a race light on with chances.
The ratings and speed maps from Morphettville Parks last Saturday gives you an indication of what to expect as a member of Adam’s South Australian ratings package.
AFL tip and update
Improved player ratings was a key reason for expecting big things from our revamped AFL betting model, but the 2016 results have even exceeded those expectations:
27% PoT on Totals
23% PoT on Line bets
19% PoT at odds
One team we will be backing this week is the Brisbane Lions at home (currently +6.5 points with Luxbet) against the Freo Dockers.
More info on Daniel and Stephen’s AFL tips.
NRL tip and update
Wests v Souths
Wests really let us down last week. Against a heavily depleted Roosters, Wests showed that they have a soft underbelly as the Roosters ran rampant up the middle. Naiqama is simply awful in defence and I can see Souths targeting his bad reads all day.
But…I do think Wests were severely hampered by the weather that match was played in. Torrential rain does not suit the free-flowing Tigers style of play and Tedesco’s wrap around play was rendered useless.
As for Souths, although they came back against the Titans, they were getting outplayed for most of that match. The Burgess brothers make a lot of errors and Inglis drifts in and out of big games. Their best player in recent weeks has been Cody Walker and so I was a little surprised to see Wests given a 6.5 head start in this one.
With Farah back I think Wests will not only be competitive here, but I think they can win this and we will back Wests +4
59% winners and $2500 profit this season is a sensational result for Steve Green’s NRL tips and previews.
An all sports package
It’s pretty simple with Matt – if he’s betting (whether it’s his own stuff or a fellow pro’s) then he’s tipping to members.
Which means Matt’s Sports Bets is a comprehensive package covering cricket, NRL, Union, darts, golf, tennis and more.
He requested a preview for the upcoming International Rugby Union tours from a good friend who happens to be the best Union gambler he knows:
“Hi mate, AUS v ENG – think AUS prob win the series 2-1. Cheika can basically pick the same pack that won 10/12 games since 2015. His issue will be in backline where he is missing Giteau, Ashley-Cooper, Mitchell, Genia from the preferred XV he started in RWC…and then also Toomua, Beale, Tomane. He will prob pick Phipps / Foley at 9/10 so that is a tested Waratahs combo.. but centres and back 3 will have to feature some guys with 0 or 1 caps, who haven’t played together. Having said that, Folau is a megagun and the Fijian kid Kerevi looks a real freak so they’ll have enough firepower. England not really tested under Jones yet. Really strong lineout but penalty count is pretty high (at least 12 a game so far) and still wouldn’t trust them to finish off scoring chances at the same rate the Wallabies could.
NZ should win 3-0 against Wales with relative ease. Usually worth opposing them in their 1st Test of the year on hcap, weren’t really convincing vs Samoa in 2015, England in 2014, France in 2013 etc. They will have identified and worked on that though cos they are pretty hot on the mental side of game. Wales also known for starting 6N / tours slowly and getting better towards the end. Wayne Barnes reffing 1st game is prob an advantage for backing Wales with plenty of points – more likely to card NZ than other refs and pretty sure they have a lower avg score with him than other refs. NZ goalkickers not been great in Super Rugby which might also help Wales hcap and will be a new NZ centre combo. Think we prob see NZ dish out a big hammering in one of the games – maybe 3rd Test under the roof in Dunedin.
If SA pick plenty of in-form Lions players then they’ll batter Ireland. If new coach picks all his old Stormers guys then it will be slow boring games between two sides that can’t score tries. Ireland missing Sexton and having to pick new 7 and fullback. End of a long season where most players underperformed so not expecting much from them. Ireland have also got a couple of lads born in SA in the squad so they will get special treatment from the Boks. 1st test is Cape Town (sea level), 2nd is Jo’burg (Altitude 1,753m) then 3rd Port Elizabeth (sea level) – that’s not a bad set of venues for Ireland but reckon they could be *very tired* 2nd half in the 2nd Test as won’t get much time to acclimatise.”
* He used a different word to ‘very tired’ which doesn’t take too much imagination to figure out.
NZ to win 3-0, South Africa to win 3-0 double: $2.02 Sportsbet 2u
Australia to win series vs England $1.57 Various 2u
Australia to win series 2-1 $2.50 Various 1u
Individual game bets to come when the teams have been named and the markets go up in full.
Learn more about Matt’s Sports Bets. Members have doubled their bank since Matt kicked off in December 2015, with a Profit on Turnover of 17%.
The Football Advisor
Euro 2016 starts early tomorrow morning and our own Football Advisor Jon Roberts has put together a comprehensive written preview (free PDF download here) as well as having a chat on this week’s Betting 360 podcast.
Jon has a very strong record over the last 2 years (11% Profit on Turnover overall) including some big results in the big tournaments.
As a Euro 2016 / Copa America special we’re offering 10% off a monthly membership.
Finishing With A Friday Funny: Actor Maurie Fields ‘Winning Betting System’
At the start you’ll probably think this was a comedy skit, but scarily it seems to have been a ‘legitimate’ advertisement in its day: