Wayne Hawkes made some interesting observations yesterday on RSN with Shane Anderson. He was very happy with the performance of Not Listenin’tome who ran 2nd to Appearance in the Canterbury Stakes. But he did mention that he feels mares get a significant advantage at Weight For Age. “You can’t take anything away from the winner, she’s no slouch,” Hawkes said. “The Weight For Age scale, well the mares always get in so, so well. We’ve been smashed by great mares for the last 10 years. Appearance gave us only 1.5kgs and we’re a a 3 year-old and she’s a 3 time Group 1 winner . I would like to see the mares WFA scale looked at again. Having said that I’m not taking anything away from the winner.” So let’s look at how mares have performed at WFA level since 2008. The profit percentage is based on runners under 10/1 and proportionately staked (ie. the shorter the price the greater the outlay in line with the probability of the horse winning): The overall result is very positive with 8% profit from ‘blindly’ backing mares at WFA level that are in the market. The profit performance of mares exceeded all others: So in very broad numbers over the six year period: Just over 500 bets on mares at WFA won 8% on turnover Just over 1500 bets on non-mares at WFA lost 5% on turnover Which means it’s a factor worth considering next time you’re doing the form for a big race. But as always we suggest you treat it as merely the starting point for further analysis rather than a stand alone approach. You can listen to the full interview with Wayne Hawkes here.